December 2018
« Nov    
(Premium): Commentary ASEAN ASEAN (R) ASEAN-ISIS Chen Chen Lee Country (R): Indonesia Country (R): Malaysia Country (R): Myanmar Country (R): Philippines Country (R): Singapore Country: ASEAN Country: Australia Country: Cambodia Country: China Country: Germany Country: India Country: Indonesia Country: Japan Country: Laos Country: Malaysia Country: Myanmar Country: North Korea Country: Philippines Country: Qatar Country: Russia Country: Singapore Country: Singapore Country: South Korea Country: Taiwan Country: Thailand Country: UK Country: US Country: USA Country: Vietnam donald trump Elections: Indonesia 2019 Elections: Thailand 2019 European Union Event: SDSWR Events: AAF Focus CH: Hong Kong Focus JP: Abenomics Focus MM: Rakhine State Focus MY: GE14 Focus SG: SG Secure Focus SG: Smart Nation Focus SG: Society Focus TH: Protests Focus UK: Brexit Fukushima Global Citizens Singapore Institute: ERIA Institute: EU Centre in Singapore Institute: SIIA Leaders: Aung San Suu Kyi Leaders: Jokowi Leaders: Kim Jong Un Leaders: Lee Hsien Loong Leaders: Lee Kuan Yew Leaders: Mahathir Mohamad Leaders: Obama Leaders: Trump Myanmar: NLD Nicholas Fang Org: AIIB Org: G20 Region: Africa Region: Asia Region: Latin America Region: Middle East Reports Simon Tay Topic (Environment): Peatland Topic (Environment): Smallholders Topic (R): Belt and Road Topic (R): Business Topic (R): Digitisation Topic (R): E-Commerce Topic (R): Economy Topic (R): Green Finance Topic (R): Infrastructure Topic (R): Palm Oil Topic (R): Peatland Topic (R): Smallholders Topic (R): Sustainability Topic: Anti-Globalisation Topic: Belt and Road Topic: Business Topic: Development Topic: Digitisation Topic: E-Commerce Topic: Economics Topic: Elections Topic: Environment Topic: Finance Topic: Global Citizens Topic: Globalisation Topic: Green Finance Topic: Haze Topic: Human Rights Topic: Human Trafficking Topic: Infrastructure Topic: Investment Topic: Labour Topic: Nuclear Topic: Palm Oil Topic: Race Topic: Regional Integration Topic: Religion Topic: Security Topic: Small States Topic: SMEs Topic: Sustainability Topic: Sustainable/Green Infrastructure Topic: Trade Trade: AEC Trade: CPTPP Trade: FTA Trade: FTAAP Trade: Multilateralism Trade: RCEP Trade: TPP Trade: War Trends (Digital): Cybersecurity Trends (Digital): Data privacy Trends (Digital): Data security Trends (Digital): Digital Economy Trends (Digital): Digitisation Trends (Digital): Facebook Trends (Digital): New Media Trends (Digital): Smart Cities Trends (Environment): Air pollution Trends (Environment): Climate Change Trends (Environment): Energy Trends (Environment): Green Growth Trends (Environment): Hotspots Trends (Environment): Riau Trends (Environment): RSPO Trends (Environment): Sustainability Trends (Environment): Water Trends (Globalisation): ASEAN Citizens Trends (Globalisation): Populism Trends (Globalisation): Workers Rights Trends (Security): South China Sea Trends (Security): Terrorism Trends (Social): Demographics Trends (Social): Diversity United States us midterm elections WTO

Asean could bear fallout from giants’ dispute over South China Sea


04 Jan Asean could bear fallout from giants’ dispute over South China Sea

SIIA Chairman Simon Tay and SIIA Council Member Manu Bhaskaran were quoted by TODAY’s Eileen Ng in an article on how South-east Asian countries could be forced to choose sides between China and the United States, particularly when it comes to the South China Sea issue. There is also uncertainty over US President-elect Donald Trump’s policy towards Asia. An excerpt of their comments is below. The full article is available from TODAY and was originally published on 4 Jan 2017.

With the region expected to be going through “much volatility” this year, Associate Professor Simon Tay, chairman of the Singapore Institute of International Affairs, said Asean’s credibility will depend on how it engages with the two giants — China and the US.

“Asean will shoot itself in the foot if (its unity) starts to fray. Sometimes, it is wiser to maintain one’s unity by not moving too fast or strongly on any issues, sometimes it is better to take a wait-and-see approach,” he said.

The common economic interests in the form of the China-led Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) trade pact may help to lower temperatures in the region. The RCEP has taken on additional importance since Mr Trump has vowed to jettison the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement once he takes office on Jan 20.

But Mr Manu Bhaskaran, founding CEO of Centennial Asia Advisors, said that common interests in the RCEP may not lead to improved political dynamics, noting that the security compulsions driving China’s assertive stance in the South China Sea appear to be very important in the minds of Chinese policy makers. “It is unlikely that they will downgrade those concerns in order to achieve an RCEP agreement. Given that countries such as Malaysia and the Philippines are shifting closer to China anyway, why would it have to do so?” he said.

Photo Credit: Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Laos

Photo Credit (Home page banner): Lecs, C.C. BY 3.0