December 2022
AIIB ASEAN ASEAN (R) ASEAN-ISIS Asia Big Tech CH: Hong Kong Country (R): Indonesia Country (R): Malaysia Country (R): Myanmar Country (R): Singapore Country: ASEAN Country: Australia Country: Cambodia Country: China Country: Germany Country: India Country: Indonesia Country: Japan Country: Laos Country: Malaysia Country: Myanmar Country: North Korea Country: Philippines Country: Qatar Country: Russia Country: Singapore Country: South Korea Country: Taiwan Country: Thailand Country: UK Country: United States Country: US Country: USA Country: Vietnam covid-19 DE: 5G DE: Data privacy DE: Data security DE: Facebook Digitalisation Elections: Indonesia 2019 Elections: Thailand 2019 ESG: Climate Change ESG: Diversity ESG: Energy ESG: Green Finance ESG: Green Growth ESG: Haze ESG: Human Rights ESG: Modern Slavery ESG: Peatland ESG: Riau ESG: Smallholders ESG: Sustainability ESG: Sustainable/Green Infrastructure European Union Event: SDSWR Events: AAF Fukushima Global Citizens Singapore Google Indonesia: Jokowi Institute: ERIA Institute: SIIA JP: Abenomics Leaders: Kim Jong Un Leaders: Lee Hsien Loong Megatrends: Populism MM: Aung San Suu Kyi MM: NLD MM: Rakhine State MY: Anwar Ibrahim MY: GE14 MY: Mahathir Mohamad MY: Najib Razak New Horizons New Zealand Nicholas Fang Oh Ei Sun Recovery Region: Latin America Region: Middle East Reports Security: South China Sea Security: Terrorism SG: Lee Kuan Yew SG: SG Secure SG: Smart Nation SG: Society Simon Tay Sustainable infrastructure Topic (R): Belt and Road Topic (R): Business Topic (R): Digitisation Topic (R): Economy Topic (R): Green Finance Topic (R): Haze Topic (R): Infrastructure Topic (R): Palm Oil Topic (R): Peatland Topic (R): Smallholders Topic (R): Sustainability Topic: Anti-Globalisation Topic: Belt and Road Topic: Business Topic: Coronavirus Topic: COVID-19 Topic: Deforestation Topic: Development Topic: Digital Economy Topic: Digitisation Topic: E-Commerce Topic: Economics Topic: Economy Topic: Elections Topic: Environment Topic: ESG Topic: Finance Topic: Global Citizens Topic: Globalisation Topic: Human Trafficking Topic: Indo-Pacific Topic: Infrastructure Topic: Investment Topic: Labour Topic: Nuclear Topic: Palm Oil Topic: Race Topic: Regional Integration Topic: Religion Topic: Security Topic: Singapore-Malaysia Relations Topic: Small States Topic: Trade Trade: AEC Trade: CPTPP Trade: FTA Trade: Multilateralism Trade: RCEP Trade: TPP Trade: War Trends (Digital): Cybersecurity UK: Brexit United States US: Obama US: Trump US: Trump WEF youth

Indonesia’s legislative elections: What to look out for

10 Apr Indonesia’s legislative elections: What to look out for

Indonesia voted in legislative elections on April 9. Only parties winning 25 per cent of the popular vote or 20 per cent of seats in the house can nominate a candidate for president; parties which fall short of these thresholds would need to nominate a coalition. Here are three things to watch out for while waiting for the official results, as well as looking toward the presidential elections:

The performance of the PDI-P (Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle) vis-à-vis Gerindra and Golkar. Megawati Sukarnoputri, the leader of the PDI-P, timed the nomination of Joko Widodo (Jokowi), the widely popular governor of Jakarta, for before the legislative elections. This was likely in order to use his “halo” in order to boost votes for her party. However, exit polling shows that this was not as effective as expected. When the official results are released, it is important to watch the share of the vote that Golkar and Gerindra, the two other major parties, would receive, which would have implications for coalition politics.

Coalition politics and its impact on government. Although Jokowi is highly popular, the PDI-P may not garner enough votes to win an outright majority, meaning that it will have to form a coalition with smaller parties in order to form a government. The PDI-P may form an alliance with Golkar or Gerindra, and the alliance party would want to choose the vice-presidential candidate. If Jokowi becomes president, as is likely, he would have to contend with his coalition partners’ demands, which could dampen momentum for reform.

The shadow of Megawati. Jokowi has only been able to run for president due to the backing of Megawati. However, if he becomes president, he will have to contend with not only the interests of his coalition partners, but also those of Megawati. Might Indonesia face a case of a leadership split within the main ruling party, due to her influence in the PDI-P?


Jokowi admits results not as expected [Jakarta Post, 9 April 2014]

Can Jokowi rise above Indonesia’s toxic coalition politics? [Lowy Interpreter, 20 March 2014]