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12th ASEAN ISIS-IIR Taiwan Dialogue

POST-GLOBAL AND EU FINANCIAL CRISIS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES FOR EAST ASIA
 
Date/Time: Oct 28, 2010 / 8.30
Venue: The Prince Hotel, Kuala Lumpur
 

About ASEAN-ISIS
ASEAN-ISIS (ASEAN Institute of Strategic and International Studies) is an association of non-governmental organizations registered with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations.
 
Formed in 1988, its founding membership comprises the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) of Indonesia, the Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS) of Malaysia, the Institute of Strategic and Development Studies (ISDS) of the Philippines, the Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA), and the Institute of Security and International Studies (ISIS) of Thailand.
 
Its purpose is to encourage cooperation and coordination of activities among policy-oriented. ASEAN scholars and analysts, and to promote policy-oriented studies of, and exchanges of information and viewpoints on, various strategic and international issues affecting Southeast Asia's and ASEAN's peace, security and well-being.
 
ASEAN-ISIS also succeeded in obtaining recognition from the ASEAN member states as a valuable mechanism for policy making by institutionalizing the meeting between the Heads of ASEAN-ISIS and the ASEAN Senior Officials since ASEAN Senior Official Meeting (SOM) in Singapore in 1993.
 
In addition to its recognition, ASEAN-ISIS has also contributed significantly to the emergence of an important regional and international political process-that of '"track two" diplomacy.
 
About the Institute of International Relations 
The Institute of International Relations (IIR) is Taiwan's largest research institution dedicated to the understanding of international issues.
 
IIR was established on April 1, 1953 as a government think-tank to provide analysis to high-level government departments. The Institute became linked with National Chengchi University (NCCU) in 1967, and collaborated with the University in 1968 to open the Graduate Institute of East Asian Studies. In 1970, IIR moved to its present location near the NCCU main campus and later that year hosted its first Sino-American Conference on Mainland China, an annual international event which brings together scholars from the United States, Taiwan, and elsewhere to discuss issues central to US-China relations. IIR became officially affiliated with NCCU in July 1975, and is now under NCCUs organizational umbrella.
 
Programme Schedule: 

Thursday, 28 October
0830-0900 - Registration of participants
0900-0915 - WELCOME REMARKS
• Dr. Thitinan PONGSUDHIRAK, Director, Institute of Security and International Studies, Thailand, & Chair, The ASEAN Institutes of Strategic and International Studies (ASEAN-ISIS)
• Dr. Chen-Shen YEN, Acting Director, Institute of International Relations (IIR), National Chengchi University, Taiwan

0915-0945 - SESSION 1: POST GLOBAL AND EU FINANCIAL CRISIS – IMPLICATIONS TO EAST ASIA REGIONAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

The global financial and economic crisis in 2008-2010 and current European financial crisis have considerably shifted global economic gravity to East Asia. Economic growth in the region continues to expand with China, India and other dynamic economies lead the way. At the same time, the pace of regional economic integration accelerates in trade and investment coupled with deepening of financial integration. Re-balancing of growth strategy remains critical to the sustainability of rapid growth in East Asia. This would involve increasing regional domestic demand, enhancing intra-regional trade and investment and re-aligning its growth strategy based on inclusive, innovative, connectivity and reducing development gap. What is the role of ASEAN Plus Three, East Asia Summit (EAS) and APEC?

• Moderator
HRH Prince Samdeech NORODOM Sirivudh, Supreme Privy Counselor to His Majesty the King of Cambodia, and Founder and Chairman, Board of Directors, Cambodian Institute for Cooperation and Peace (CICP), Cambodia
• Speakers
Dr. Hank LIM, Senior Research Fellow, Singapore Institute of International Affairs, Singapore, “Growth Strategies for East Asia Following Global and EU Financial Crisis”
Ms. Kristy HSU, Associate Research Fellow, Chung-Hua Institute of Economic Research, Taiwan, “Taiwan’s Perspective on Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP)”

0945-1030 - Open Discussion for Session 1
1030-1045 - Teabreak
1045-1115 - SESSION 2: ECONOMIC COOPERATION FRAMEWORK AGREEMENT (ECFA) – DOMESTIC OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES

China and Taiwan signed Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) on 29 June, promising the establishment of a cross-strait free trade area. The Agreement involves removing tariff and non-tariff trade barriers to create a free flow of goods, services and investment across border. An “early harvest” list has been announced, containing selected industries and services that can enjoy preferential treatment immediately upon the implementation of the ECFA. This means that the tariff rates on selected goods in the early harvest program will be lowered gradually from January 2011, and reduced to zero by January 2013. China and Taiwan will also offer easier market access to each other in selected services sectors effective from January 2011. What implications does the Agreement have on cross-strait ties? How will the ECFA impact other FTAs in the making?

• Moderator
Assoc. Prof. Simon TAY, Chairman, Singapore Institute of International Affairs, Singapore
• Speakers
Dr. Yu-ning HWANG, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, National Chengchi University, Taiwan, “ECFA: Opportunities and Challenges for China and Taiwan”
Dr. Chao-Jen HUANG, Director, Research Division of Southeast Asia, Taiwan Institute of Economic Research, “Possible Economic Impacts of ECFA toward China and Taiwan”

1115-1200 - Open Discussion for Session 2
1200-1300 - Lunch
1300-1330 - SESSION 3: THE ECFA, ASEAN AND REGIONAL INTEGRATION

With the signing of ECFA, it widens up regional economic integration and security arrangements in East Asia. Specifically, the Agreement would have a significant implications to the pace and structure of economic cooperation and integration Northeast Asia among China , Japan and South Korea and Taiwan’s initiative for bilateral FTAs with individual ASEAN country and collectively with ASEAN. Additionally, reduction of cross-straits tension would have important security and strategic consideration and implications to China, Taiwan, Japan, the US and ASEAN countries. What are the short-run impacts of ECFA to ASEAN countries? Would ECFA lead to wider economic integration in Northeast Asia?

• Moderator
Dr. PHAM Quoc Tru, Deputy Director General, Institute of Strategic & Foreign Policy Studies, Vietnam
• Speakers
Dr. Raymond Atje, Head, Economics Department, Centre for Strategic and International Studies, Indonesia, “The implications of ECFA on ASEAN economies with, special reference on Indonesia”
Dr. To-hai LIOU, Professor, Department of Diplomacy, National Chengchi University, Taiwan, “Taiwan’s Initiative for bilateral FTAs with ASEAN countries”

1330-1415 - Open Discussion for Session 3
1415-1430 - Tea Break
1430-1500 - SESSION 4: REGIONAL ECONOMIC ARCHITECTURE: POST GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS

There is a view to argue that there is a need to re-assess, re-structure and strengthen the regional architecture as the core of international system has shifted to East Asia. The absence of a comprehensive multilateral regional architecture is due to not clearly defined geographical boundaries, historical past and a great diversity of the region. At this point, ASEAN despite its intrinsic weaknesses has performed relatively well as the default hub of East Asia economic cooperation. Is there a need to re-structure regional cooperation framework? How sustainable is ASEAN as the default of East Asia regional architecture?

• Moderator
Mrs. Malayvieng SAKONHNINHOM, Director-General, Institute of Foreign Affairs, Laos
• Speakers
Dato' Dr. Mahani Zainal Abidin, Chief Executive, Institute of Strategic and International Studies, Malaysia , “ASEAN's centrality in East Asia Regional Integration”
Dr. Alan Hao YANG, Assistant Research Fellow, Institute of International Relations, National Chengchi University, Taiwan, “Taiwan’s Perspective on East Asia Regional Cooperation Architecture”

1500-1545 - Open Discussion for Session 4
1545-1615 - Tea Break
1615-1645 - SESSION 5: CROSS-STRAIT COOPERATION AND ITS IMPLICATION FOR REGIONAL SECURITY

• Moderators
Mr. Bau-Shuan GER, Deputy Director General on Home Assignment, Department of East Asian Pacific Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Taiwan
• Speakers
Dr. Mignonne CHAN, Assistant Professor, Graduate Institute of the Americas, Tamkang University, Taiwan, “Post-ECFA Cross-Strait Challenges and Implications for Regional Security”
Prof. Herman KRAFT, Executive Director, Institute of Strategic and Development Studies, Philippines, “Developments in Cross-Straits Relations and Its Strategic Implications to Southeast Asia”,

1645-1730 - Open Discussion for Session 5
1730-1830 - Long Break
1830-2130 - Welcome Dinner

Dinner talk by YBhg. Prof. Emeritus Datuk Dr Mohamed Ariff Abdul Kareem, Distinguished Fellow, Malaysia Institute of Economic Research (MIER), Malaysia, “ASEAN Economic Community: Progress and Challenges Towards 2015”

Friday, 29 October
0930-1030 - ROUNDTABLE DISCUSSION ON REGIONAL ISSUES

Moderators
• Dr. Chen-Shen YEN, Acting Director, Institute of International Relations (IIR), National Chengchi University, Taiwan
• Tan Sri Jawhar HASSAN, Chairman, Institute of Strategic and International Studies, Malaysia

Topics:
1. - Open responses from ASEAN
2. - APEC Summit and G-20 Meeting
3. - Strategic Leadership in Asia
4. - The Re-balancing of Growth Strategy in Asia
5. - ECFA and implications on ASEAN
6. - The role of US in regional economic architecture
7. - The Cooperation on Energy Security Between Taiwan and ASEAN
1030-1045 - Tea Break
1045-1200 - ROUNDTABLE DISCUSSION ON REGIONAL ISSUES (CONT’D)
1200-1215 - Closing Remarks
• Dr. Chen-Shen YEN, Acting Director, Institute of International Relations (IIR), National Chengchi University, Taiwan
• Dato' Dr. Mahani Zainal Abidin, Chief Executive, Institute of Strategic and International Studies, Malaysia

1215-1330 - Lunch
PM - Social Programme

Departure of participants

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