May 2024
AIIB ASEAN ASEAN (R) ASEAN-ISIS Asia Big Tech CH: Hong Kong Country (R): Indonesia Country (R): Malaysia Country (R): Myanmar Country (R): Singapore Country: ASEAN Country: Australia Country: Cambodia Country: China Country: Germany Country: India Country: Indonesia Country: Japan Country: Laos Country: Malaysia Country: Myanmar Country: North Korea Country: Philippines Country: Qatar Country: Russia Country: Singapore Country: South Korea Country: Taiwan Country: Thailand Country: UK Country: United States Country: US Country: USA Country: Vietnam covid-19 DE: 5G DE: Data privacy DE: Data security DE: Facebook Digitalisation Elections: Indonesia 2019 Elections: Thailand 2019 ESG: Climate Change ESG: Diversity ESG: Energy ESG: Green Finance ESG: Green Growth ESG: Haze ESG: Human Rights ESG: Modern Slavery ESG: Peatland ESG: Riau ESG: Smallholders ESG: Sustainability ESG: Sustainable/Green Infrastructure European Union Event: SDSWR Events: AAF Fukushima Global Citizens Singapore Indonesia: Jokowi Institute: ERIA Institute: SIIA JP: Abenomics Leaders: Kim Jong Un Leaders: Lee Hsien Loong Megatrends: Populism MM: Aung San Suu Kyi MM: NLD MM: Rakhine State MY: Anwar Ibrahim MY: GE14 MY: Mahathir Mohamad MY: Najib Razak New Horizons New Zealand Nicholas Fang Oh Ei Sun Recovery Region: European Union Region: Latin America Region: Middle East Reports Security: South China Sea Security: Terrorism SG: Lee Kuan Yew SG: SG Secure SG: Smart Nation SG: Society Simon Tay Sustainable infrastructure Topic (R): Belt and Road Topic (R): Business Topic (R): Digitisation Topic (R): Economy Topic (R): Green Finance Topic (R): Haze Topic (R): Infrastructure Topic (R): Palm Oil Topic (R): Peatland Topic (R): Smallholders Topic (R): Sustainability Topic: Anti-Globalisation Topic: Belt and Road Topic: Business Topic: Coronavirus Topic: COVID-19 Topic: Deforestation Topic: Development Topic: Digital Economy Topic: Digitisation Topic: E-Commerce Topic: Economics Topic: Economy Topic: Elections Topic: Environment Topic: ESG Topic: Finance Topic: Global Citizens Topic: Globalisation Topic: Human Trafficking Topic: Indo-Pacific Topic: Infrastructure Topic: Investment Topic: Labour Topic: Nuclear Topic: Palm Oil Topic: Race Topic: Regional Integration Topic: Religion Topic: Security Topic: Singapore-Malaysia Relations Topic: Small States Topic: Trade Trade: AEC Trade: CPTPP Trade: FTA Trade: Multilateralism Trade: RCEP Trade: TPP Trade: War Trends (Digital): Cybersecurity UK: Brexit United States US: Obama US: Trump US: Trump WEF youth

The Cost of the Pandemic in Southeast Asia: The Need for Further ASEAN Cooperation

02 Sep The Cost of the Pandemic in Southeast Asia: The Need for Further ASEAN Cooperation

With Indonesia as the current epicentre of the COVID-19 outbreak, the current humanitarian crisis in Myanmar and political instability in Malaysia, the prospect of the region’s previously forecasted quick recovery seems unlikely.

From 17 August to 18 August 2021, the Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS) Malaysia hosted the 34th Asia-Pacific Roundtable. The conference was themed, “Disruption Redux”, where discussions centered around the disruptive impact the COVID-19 pandemic had on different areas and fields, as well as the pandemic’s possible long-term effects.

The second panel of the conference was titled, “The Social and Political Costs of the Pandemic in Southeast Asia”. Speakers discussed the extensive impacts of border closures brought about by the outbreak of COVID-19. As a result of the lockdowns, ASEAN’s interdependence was challenged — including labour and supply chains, services, and capital as well as human mobility. The panellists also shed some light on the region’s recovery with vaccinations picking up. Speakers included Associate Professor Simon Tay, Chairman of the SIIA, Dr David Capie, Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies and Dr Sarena Che Omar, Deputy Director of Research of the Khazanah Research Institute. The session was moderated by Mr Herman Joseph S Kraft.

Current geopolitical situation

Southeast Asia was previously on track for a quick economic recovery from COVID-19 but the delta variant has ravaged the region and drastically changed the situation. Vaccines are crucial for the situation to turn around. However, with the exception of Singapore and Cambodia, the region is doing poorly in terms of vaccination rates due to the lack of supply. With limited vaccine doses, the region has seen increasing strategic competition between the US and China, with China utilising vaccine diplomacy and the US following suit. The economic impact has also been severe. According to the International Labour Organisation, in 2020, there were 10 million fewer workers in employment than forecasted for 2020 in a no-pandemic scenario. The mass unemployment has also resulted in food insecurity amongst the most vulnerable. While some countries remain politically stable, others are currently in the midst of political uncertainty and crisis. Most notably, Myanmar is currently the worst hit by COVID-19 due to its crumbling health infrastructure since the coup in February, turning the political crisis into a humanitarian one. Speakers also highlighted the social implications of pandemic, mainly its negative impact on the mental health of people.

Need for ASEAN unity and cooperation

As circumstances in Myanmar deteriorate, Professor Tay, highlighted the urgent need to resolve the crisis in Myanmar is also an opportunity for ASEAN unity and cooperation. As individual countries recover, intra-ASEAN assistance and cooperation must step up. Further collaboration would ease the problem of too much vaccine diplomacy and over-reliance on vaccines from the US or China. This could also help prevent ASEAN centrality from being strained.

With each crisis and challenge that ASEAN faces, there are also opportunities that it can seize. Yet, we must also acknowledge the limits of ASEAN, given that much of the geopolitical issues they face are largely out of its control. As the Delta variant continues to ravage Southeast Asia, countries are preoccupied with dealing with the spikes in COVID-19 case numbers. However, as vaccination rates pick up and the region recovers, ASEAN should further integrate and draw strength from each other to deal with future challenges.