July 2019
M T W T F S S
« Jun    
1234567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
293031  
Tags
AIIB ASEAN ASEAN (R) ASEAN-ISIS Asia Beijing Big Tech CH: Hong Kong Country (R): Indonesia Country (R): Malaysia Country (R): Myanmar Country (R): Singapore Country: ASEAN Country: Australia Country: Cambodia Country: China Country: Germany Country: India Country: Indonesia Country: Japan Country: Laos Country: Malaysia Country: Myanmar Country: North Korea Country: Philippines Country: Qatar Country: Russia Country: Singapore Country: South Korea Country: Taiwan Country: Thailand Country: UK Country: United States Country: US Country: USA Country: Vietnam DE: 5G DE: Data privacy DE: Data security DE: e-Payments DE: Facebook Elections: Indonesia 2019 Elections: Thailand 2019 ESG: Climate Change ESG: Diversity ESG: Energy ESG: Green Finance ESG: Green Growth ESG: Haze ESG: Human Rights ESG: Peatland ESG: Riau ESG: RSPO ESG: Smallholders ESG: Sustainability ESG: Sustainable/Green Infrastructure ESG: Water ESG: Workers Rights European Union Event: SDSWR Events: AAF Fukushima G20 Global Citizens Singapore Google Indonesia: Jokowi Institute: ERIA Institute: SIIA JP: Abenomics Leaders: Kim Jong Un Leaders: Lee Hsien Loong Megatrends: Digitisation Megatrends: New Media Megatrends: Populism MM: Aung San Suu Kyi MM: NLD MM: Rakhine State MY: GE14 MY: Mahathir Mohamad MY: Najib Razak Nicholas Fang Oh Ei Sun Region: Africa Region: Latin America Region: Middle East Reports Security: South China Sea Security: Terrorism SG: Lee Kuan Yew SG: SG Secure SG: Smart Nation SG: Society Simon Tay TH: Protests Topic (R): Belt and Road Topic (R): Business Topic (R): Digitisation Topic (R): Economy Topic (R): Green Finance Topic (R): Infrastructure Topic (R): Palm Oil Topic (R): Peatland Topic (R): Smallholders Topic (R): Sustainability Topic: Anti-Globalisation Topic: Belt and Road Topic: Business Topic: Development Topic: Digital Economy Topic: Digitisation Topic: E-Commerce Topic: Economics Topic: Economy Topic: Elections Topic: Environment Topic: Finance Topic: Global Citizens Topic: Globalisation Topic: Human Trafficking Topic: Indo-Pacific Topic: Infrastructure Topic: Investment Topic: Labour Topic: Nuclear Topic: Palm Oil Topic: Race Topic: Regional Integration Topic: Religion Topic: Security Topic: Singapore-Malaysia Relations Topic: Small States Topic: SMEs Topic: Trade Trade: AEC Trade: CPTPP Trade: FTA Trade: FTAAP Trade: Multilateralism Trade: RCEP Trade: TPP Trade: War Trends (Digital): Cybersecurity Trends (Digital): Smart Cities UK: Brexit United States US: Obama US: Trump US: Trump WEF WTO

The EU and ASEAN in Uncertain Times: Multilateralism, Tensions, and Trade

DSC_1522

14 Sep The EU and ASEAN in Uncertain Times: Multilateralism, Tensions, and Trade

The European Union is currently facing a wide range of challenges, including a difficult relationship with the United States, Brexit, tensions with Russia, and a migrant crisis linked to instability in the Middle East. Is multilateralism dead, or are there ways to strengthen international cooperation? We hosted Mr. Andreas Michaelis, State Secretary of the Federal Foreign Office, Federal Republic of Germany, for a talk at the SIIA on Wednesday 12 September 2018.

Here’s a summary of Mr. Michaelis’ comments, including points raised during the Q&A session. The full text of Mr. Michaelis’ prepared remarks is also available online, in our commentaries section.


 

DSC_1676

Farewell to Multilateralism?

In the current global environment, many argue that multilateralism is on its way out. However, both Germany and Singapore are trading nations, with a vested interest in supporting a level playing field.

But if the US is withdrawing to some degree from global affairs, other countries need to assume more responsibility. Germany hopes to strengthen Europe as a force for security, an advocate for an open and just international order, and a pillar for a rules based order. Mr. Michaelis emphasised that their goal is not ‘Europe First’, but to strengthen ties around the world.

In this context, German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas recently called for countries to form an “Alliance for Multilateralism”. South Korea and Japan have shown interest, and Germany hopes that Singapore and ASEAN will be partners.

DSC_1493

Transatlantic Relations and Trade

Currently, the EU and US are engaged in trade talks, and negotiators hope to have a partial deal inked by November. However, in response to a question from SIIA Chairman Simon Tay, Mr. Michaelis noted there are potential stumbling blocks. The US would prefer to have agriculture on the table, but the agriculture sector is very important to France. Additionally, the tariff issue is complex due to global supply chains. The US has threatened to impose tariffs on EU car imports, targeting countries such as Germany, but BMW is also the largest car exporter from the US.

But Mr. Michaelis stressed that Europe is still “deadly serious” about its relationship with the US. The current frictions are not of their choosing, but it is “not an excuse” to turn their back on the US. Mr. Michaelis noted that, on a global level, the EU is prepared to discuss ways to reform the World Trade Organisation (WTO). He also pointed out that China’s interpretation of free and fair trade is debatable; on matters such as forced technology transfers, foggy state subsidies, and export of excess capacity, Europeans do see eye to eye with Washington.

DSC_1621

FTAs and EU-ASEAN

With the global economy under strain, the EU must invest more into research and development and European infrastructure, and these will be among the priorities for the next annual European budget.

Europe will also need to strengthen ties to partners around the globe. The recently signed EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement is an important step. The EU has concluded FTA negotiations with Singapore and Vietnam, and has started talks with five other ASEAN countries. The EU’s ultimate goal remains a region-to-region EU-ASEAN FTA. In response to a question on whether the FTA talks are taking too long, Mr. Michaelis stressed that the EU-Singapore FTA is on track for signing in October. He noted that negotiations for EU FTAs do unfortunately take some time, but Germany is very serious on free trade, and would like to move faster.

DSC_1820

Brexit, Populism and Polarisation 

Answering a question on Brexit, Mr. Michaelis warned against believing pessimistic media reports about a hard Brexit, and that there is still a good chance of a negotiated exit in the next two or three months. But he acknowledged that there are areas of cooperation where things will become more difficult post-Brexit.

The UK’s Brexit vote has been widely seen as a manifestation of populism and polarisation at the ballot box. Replying to a question on political polarisation in Europe and the issue of migrants and refugees, Mr. Michaelis cited the recent demonstrations in Chemnitz, following the death of a German man after a fight with two Afghan suspects. Far-right protestors openly chanted Nazi slogans, which are illegal in Germany. This is a new phenomenon, as the far-right has never been so bold. This is occurring against the backdrop of the rise of Alternative for Germany (AfD), a populist far-right party which is now the third largest in the Bundestag after the 2017 election. This illustrates that migrant issues still loom large in European politics, and is a challenge Europe has to deal with.